Zto Express Stock Performance
| ZTO Stock | USD 21.93 0.31 1.39% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, ZTO Express holds a performance score of 14. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.79, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, ZTO Express' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ZTO Express is expected to be smaller as well. Please check ZTO Express' downside variance, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and period momentum indicator , to make a quick decision on whether ZTO Express' historical returns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Good
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ZTO Express are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unsteady basic indicators, ZTO Express displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (1.39) | Five Day Return 1.15 | Year To Date Return 2.19 | Ten Year Return 32.35 | All Time Return 32.35 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0292 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 0.65 | Dividend Date 2025-10-31 | Ex Dividend Date 2025-09-30 |
1 | All You Need to Know About ZTO Express Cayman Rating Upgrade to Strong Buy | 12/04/2025 |
2 | Heres Why Investors Should Bet on ZTO Express Stock Right Now | 12/17/2025 |
3 | Will Upgraded EPS Forecasts And Efficiency Gains Change ZTO Express s Narrative | 12/19/2025 |
4 | The Truth About ZTO Express Is This China Delivery Giant a Secret Wall Street Cheat Code - AD HOC NEWS | 12/31/2025 |
5 | Price Dynamics and Execution-Aware Positioning - Stock Traders Daily | 01/06/2026 |
6 | ZTO Express Hits New 12-Month High Heres Why | 01/08/2026 |
7 | ZTO Express Inc. Receives 22.36 Average Target Price from Analysts | 01/13/2026 |
8 | ZTO Express Holds 2026 National Network Conference | 01/20/2026 |
9 | A Look At ZTO Express Valuation After Its 2026 Integrated Logistics Focus Update | 01/22/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 13.1 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -6 B |
ZTO Express Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,882 in ZTO Express on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 311.00 from holding ZTO Express or generate 16.52% return on investment over 90 days. ZTO Express is generating 0.256% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.3588% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than ZTO, and above 95% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
ZTO Express Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of ZTO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 21.93 | 90 days | 21.93 | about 15.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ZTO Express to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 15.67 (This ZTO Express probability density function shows the probability of ZTO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon ZTO Express has a beta of 0.79. This usually means as returns on the market go up, ZTO Express average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ZTO Express will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ZTO Express has an alpha of 0.1603, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ZTO Express Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ZTO Express
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ZTO Express. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ZTO Express' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ZTO Express Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ZTO Express is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ZTO Express' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ZTO Express, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ZTO Express within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
ZTO Express Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ZTO Express for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ZTO Express can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Acquisition by Palmer Sheryl of tradable shares of Carlisle Companies subject to Rule 16b-3 |
ZTO Express Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ZTO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ZTO Express' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ZTO Express' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 838.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.3 B |
ZTO Express Fundamentals Growth
ZTO Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ZTO Express, and ZTO Express fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ZTO Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0732 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.19 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.20 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 15.76 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 580.77 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 27.47 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.88 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.37 X | ||||
| Revenue | 44.28 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 12.35 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 15.04 B | ||||
| Net Income | 8.89 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 13.47 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 18.70 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 17.35 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.15 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.25 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 11.66 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 11.43 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.55 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 17.49 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 92.34 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 39.1 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 2.08 B | ||||
About ZTO Express Performance
By examining ZTO Express' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into ZTO Express' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that ZTO Express is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 0.53 | 0.50 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.12 | 0.14 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.21 | 0.17 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.10 | 0.11 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | 0.14 |
Things to note about ZTO Express performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about ZTO Express for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ZTO Express help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Acquisition by Palmer Sheryl of tradable shares of Carlisle Companies subject to Rule 16b-3 |
- Analyzing ZTO Express' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ZTO Express' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining ZTO Express' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating ZTO Express' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ZTO Express' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ZTO Express' stock. These opinions can provide insight into ZTO Express' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ZTO Express. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. To learn how to invest in ZTO Stock, please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Will Air Freight & Logistics sector continue expanding? Could ZTO diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ZTO Express. Anticipated expansion of ZTO directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every ZTO Express data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.069 | Dividend Share 4.79 | Earnings Share 1.55 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.111 |
The market value of ZTO Express is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ZTO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ZTO Express' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ZTO Express' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because ZTO Express' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ZTO Express' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ZTO Express' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ZTO Express is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, ZTO Express' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.